Hampton & Richmond 2-8 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.08
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 24% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.52/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
+17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Farnborough
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
24.02.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
02.09.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
25.03.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
03.12.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 1-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
19.11.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2-8
AWAY Farnborough
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough swept aside Hampton & Richmond 8-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 8-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 46% of the ball to Farnborough's 54%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farnborough led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 1.33 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough?

Hampton & Richmond 2-8 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 34%, draw 25%, Farnborough 41%. The final score 2-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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