Harrogate Town 3-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.56
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
11%
5.06
X/2
18%
5.94
X/X
10%
4.16
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.54
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.38/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.34
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 69%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.6 Crosses 15.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 2.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
253 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
4 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
3-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.16 xG 0.69
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
178 Passes 257
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town beat Fleetwood Town 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Harrogate Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 43% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 57%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.16 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Harrogate Town 3-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 37%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harrogate Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harrogate Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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