Chesterfield 3-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.06
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
15%
5.68
X/2
10%
5.42
X/X
10%
4.4
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.78
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.45/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.05
+48% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 68%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.8 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Bradford City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
389 Passes 162
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.12.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
04.11.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
29.08.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-4 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
07.01.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
01.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
08.05.2016 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
3-3
AWAY Bradford City
1.59 xG 2.10
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
354 Passes 153
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield and Bradford City couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 64% of the ball to Bradford City's 36%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.59 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chesterfield and 2.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Bradford City?

Chesterfield 3-3 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 40%, draw 27%, Bradford City 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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