Newport County 0-0 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.68
1/2
9%
22.9
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
9%
10.6
X/2
18%
4.11
X/X
13%
5.48
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.06
2/X
9%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.97/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.64
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
16.1 Crosses 26.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Walsall
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
213 Passes 226
61% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2024 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
10.02.2024 Walsall Walsall 0-3 HT 0-3 Newport County Newport County İN2
20.10.2023 Newport County Newport County 3-3 HT 2-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
18.02.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
06.08.2022 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
01.01.2022 Walsall Walsall 3-3 HT 0-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-0
AWAY Walsall
0.45 xG 1.72
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
162 Passes 367
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County and Walsall fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Newport County had 35% of the ball to Walsall's 65%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.45 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newport County and 1.67 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Walsall?

Newport County 0-0 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Newport County 24%, draw 27%, Walsall 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Walsall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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