Bradford City 2-1 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.66
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
13%
7.81
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
13%
5.73
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.45
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
236 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 64%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.9 Crosses 12.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Chesterfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
04.11.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
29.08.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-4 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
07.01.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
01.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
08.05.2016 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
19.12.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
2-1
AWAY Chesterfield
1.81 xG 1.14
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
162 Passes 389
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City edged past Chesterfield 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Bradford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bradford City had 33% of the ball to Chesterfield's 67%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.81 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bradford City and 0.33 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Chesterfield?

Bradford City 2-1 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 39%, draw 26%, Chesterfield 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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