Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.62
Over 2.5
33%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
4.39
6+ Goals
7%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 39% vs market 33.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
9%
6.04
X/X
17%
4.03
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.75
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
58%
+8.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
42%
-8.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -24%
1.08/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.34
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 66%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.2 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barrow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
203 Passes 258
60% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
05.08.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
29.12.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
01.10.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
05.02.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
26.12.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Barrow
1.93 xG 2.34
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
293 Passes 132
70% Pass Accuracy 53%
23 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Barrow shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 63% of the ball to Barrow's 37%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.93 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.83 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Barrow?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 37%, draw 32%, Barrow 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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