Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
İNTK
3-1
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Carlisle United
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Carlisle United
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
Carlisle United 2-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Carlisle United edged past Accrington Stanley 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Carlisle United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Carlisle United had 47% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 53%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.59 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carlisle United and 1.33 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley?
Carlisle United 2-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated an Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 35%, draw 28%, Accrington Stanley 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.