Bromley 1-1 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.53
X/2
9%
7.99
X/X
8%
5.15
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
16%
5.66
2/X
9%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -18%
1.67/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.48
-34% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.0 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
1-1
AWAY Swindon Town
0.74 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
132 Passes 153
53% Pass Accuracy 54%
19 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley and Swindon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bromley at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bromley had 47% of the ball to Swindon Town's 53%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.74 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Swindon Town?

Bromley 1-1 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bromley 46%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bromley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bromley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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