Salford City vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salford City v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Salford City vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Salford City
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Salford City
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Morecambe
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İNTK
2-2
HT 0-1
Salford City
İN2
Salford City 1-0 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Salford City squeezed past Morecambe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Salford City had 48% of the ball to Morecambe's 52%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.17 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salford City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salford City and 1.17 for Morecambe.
What was the final score of Salford City vs Morecambe?
Salford City 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salford City vs Morecambe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salford City 45%, draw 27%, Morecambe 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.