Colchester 1-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Dec 2024

Colchester
1-1 HT 0-1
Doncaster Rovers
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.91
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
16%
5.49
X/2
14%
5.43
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.85
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.97
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.3 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Colchester vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
246 Passes 275
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2024 Colchester Colchester 1-4 HT 1-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
28.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
29.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
19.11.2022 Colchester Colchester 3-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
14.04.2017 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
15.10.2016 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2

Colchester 1-1 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.91 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
248 Passes 209
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Doncaster Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Colchester had 54% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 46%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.91 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colchester and 1.67 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Doncaster Rovers?

Colchester 1-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colchester 39%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colchester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
29 Dec 2024
15:30 Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
15:30 Bromley vs Swindon Town Analysis →
18:00 Cheltenham Town vs Notts County Analysis →
18:00 Salford City vs Morecambe Analysis →
18:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Barrow Analysis →
18:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →