Burnley vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 2-0
Sheffield United
İNP
2-0
HT 0-0
Sheffield United
İNCL
5-2
HT 1-2
Burnley
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNP
Burnley 2-1 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley nicked a narrow win over Sheffield United 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burnley had 51% of the ball to Sheffield United's 49%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.97 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Burnley and 1.17 for Sheffield United.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Sheffield United?
Burnley 2-1 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Sheffield United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burnley 44%, draw 27%, Sheffield United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.