Fluminense vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense and Vitoria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Fluminense had 62% of the ball to Vitoria's 38%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.18 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Vitoria?
Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 48%, draw 26%, Vitoria 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No went the other way.