Fortaleza vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Fortaleza
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BRK
3-0
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BRK
Fortaleza 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras edged past Fortaleza 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 52% of the ball to Palmeiras's 48%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.22 to 1.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortaleza and 1.67 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?
Fortaleza 1-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 27%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.