Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Fortaleza
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BRK
3-0
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BRK
4-0
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Palmeiras 2-2 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras and Fortaleza shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Palmeiras at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Palmeiras had 60% of the ball to Fortaleza's 40%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 3.72 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Fortaleza?
Palmeiras 2-2 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 60%, draw 23%, Fortaleza 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.