Brondby 4-3 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.39
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.69
X/2
8%
8.65
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
11%
6.15
2/X
8%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.50/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.66
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Randers FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
417 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 4-2 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
25.08.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
02.11.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAK
22.10.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
03.09.2023 Brondby Brondby 3-1 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
07.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
4-3
AWAY Randers FC
1.71 xG 0.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
535 Passes 279
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby edged past Randers FC 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brondby had 63% of the ball to Randers FC's 37%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.71 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brondby's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brondby and 1.67 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Randers FC?

Brondby 4-3 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Brondby 51%, draw 23%, Randers FC 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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