Viborg 1-1 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.58
X/2
13%
8.4
X/X
6%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.0
2/2
10%
6.15
2/X
12%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.76/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.78
+8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.9 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lyngby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
343 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
26.08.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
20.05.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 3-1 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.04.2024 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
17.03.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 2-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-1
AWAY Lyngby
1.43 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
529 Passes 326
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg and Lyngby couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Viborg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Viborg had 59% of the ball to Lyngby's 41%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viborg and 1.33 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Lyngby?

Viborg 1-1 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Viborg 46%, draw 24%, Lyngby 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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