Ried vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ried v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals
Ried vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ried
AU2
4-2
HT 1-1
Ried
AU2
Ried 2-1 Grazer AK — Actual Match Statistics
Ried nicked a narrow win over Grazer AK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Ried had 50% of the ball to Grazer AK's 50%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.98 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ried's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ried and 1.50 for Grazer AK.
What was the final score of Ried vs Grazer AK?
Ried 2-1 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ried vs Grazer AK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ried 44%, draw 26%, Grazer AK 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.