Hajduk Split vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hajduk Split v Osijek — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hajduk Split 0-1 Osijek — Actual Match Statistics
Osijek edged past Hajduk Split 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Hajduk Split carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.68, roughly 60%.
Under the surface, Hajduk Split had 64% of the ball to Osijek's 36%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.84 — on chances, Hajduk Split could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.67 for Osijek.
Hajduk Split vs Osijek Result & Final Score
Hajduk Split 0-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hajduk Split vs Osijek Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 71%, draw 16%, Osijek 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5 went the other way.