Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.82
Over
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.01
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
24%
3.46
6+
11%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo The Market 29%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.34
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.2 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 271
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2026 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
13.02.2026 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
23.08.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-2 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
09.02.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
2.06 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
433 Passes 329
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lokomotiva Zagreb squeezed past Slaven Belupo 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (57%) landed.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Lokomotiva Zagreb's favour, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.06 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Lokomotiva Zagreb against 1.50 for Slaven Belupo.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Result & Final Score

Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 51%, draw 23%, Slaven Belupo 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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