Slaven Belupo 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.94
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
25%
3.68
6+
9%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.68 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb The Market 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.31/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.12
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.2 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
23.08.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-2 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
09.02.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
02.11.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
17.08.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.60 xG 0.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
262 Passes 365
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Slaven Belupo beat Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 28% / 35%); Slaven Belupo picked one for it.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.78 (~56%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Slaven Belupo had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 55%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.60 to 0.31.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Result & Final Score

Slaven Belupo 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 37%, draw 28%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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