Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Slaven Belupo v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Slaven Belupo 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb edged past Slaven Belupo 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
A gentle 49% lean on Slaven Belupo didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.76 (roughly 57%) the price was further off than we were.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.76, roughly 57%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Slaven Belupo's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.15 to 0.72 — on chances, Slaven Belupo could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Slaven Belupo against 1.33 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Result & Final Score
Slaven Belupo 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 49%, draw 23%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.