Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-2 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 35% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.9pp
58%
BTTS No
43%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.01
+29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.6 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
275 Passes 216
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
02.11.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
17.08.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
12.05.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
02.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.01.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb ARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-2
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.77 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
298 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo got the better of Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Slaven Belupo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 49% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.77 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 36%, draw 30%, Slaven Belupo 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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