Gil Vicente U23 2-0 Maritimo U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.7pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 20%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.95/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.67
+72% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maritimo U23
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
26.11.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-0 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 UŞGA
02.09.2025 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 2-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-0
AWAY Maritimo U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Maritimo U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 beat Maritimo U23 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 57% of the ball to Maritimo U23's 43%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 0.67 for Maritimo U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-0 Maritimo U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 59%, draw 21%, Maritimo U23 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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