Farense U23 1-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.96/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.71
+27% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2026 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
05.11.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
21.08.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
17.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
30.09.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-1
AWAY Estoril U23
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 and Estoril U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 40% of the ball to Estoril U23's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farense U23 and 1.00 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Farense U23 1-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 39%, draw 31%, Estoril U23 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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