Leixoes U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.29/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
-19% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2026 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
04.03.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
18.02.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
26.04.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
3-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 saw off Santa Clara U23 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Leixoes U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 52% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Leixoes U23 and 0.60 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Leixoes U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 39%, draw 23%, Santa Clara U23 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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