Rio Ave U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.1pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 18%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.44/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.64
-20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-3 HT 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
01.04.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-2 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
29.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
1-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 edged past Portimonense U23 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 51% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 49%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 0.80 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Rio Ave U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 62%, draw 16%, Portimonense U23 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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