FC Sochi 2-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.23/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.50
+2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.0 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
400 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 2-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
14.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
13.08.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
02.12.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
23.09.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
09.04.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
2-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.03 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
409 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 13
43 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi squeezed past Krylya Sovetov 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day FC Sochi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sochi had 58% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 42%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.03 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Sochi's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Sochi and 2.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov?

FC Sochi 2-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 39%, draw 26%, Krylya Sovetov 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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