CSKA Moskova 1-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.55/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.12
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.4 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rostov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.51 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
383 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
01.06.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
31.01.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 Rostov Rostov HAZ
23.11.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.07.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
12.03.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-1
AWAY Rostov
0.59 xG 0.73
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
446 Passes 178
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Rostov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 66% of the ball to Rostov's 34%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.59 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.50 for Rostov.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 47%, draw 27%, Rostov 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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