Gaddafi vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gaddafi v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
Gaddafi vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Gaddafi
UGA
Gaddafi 0-1 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City nicked a narrow win over Gaddafi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Gaddafi had 45% of the ball to Kampala City's 55%, shots finished 4-7.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gaddafi and 1.00 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of Gaddafi vs Kampala City?
Gaddafi 0-1 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 27%, draw 32%, Kampala City 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.