Uganda Police vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v URA — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Uganda Police
UGA
Uganda Police squeezed past URA 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Uganda Police made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uganda Police and 0.25 for URA.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs URA?
Uganda Police 2-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 40%, draw 30%, URA 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.