Al Nassr 4-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
79%
-0.7pp
13%
Draw
12%
+0.9pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
2.49/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.17
+13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.4 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
496 Passes 279
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2026 Damac FC Damac FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.04.2025 Damac FC Damac FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
29.11.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
05.04.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
4-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.27 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
329 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr cruised past Damac FC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 62% of the ball to Damac FC's 38%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.27 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Nassr and 0.67 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Damac FC?

Al Nassr 4-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 79%, draw 13%, Damac FC 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5
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