Iwaki 3-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 31%
-26% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.09/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.82
-21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +61%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
213 Passes 313
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2025 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-2 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
30.07.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
03.04.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
3-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
217 Passes 346
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki got the better of Kataller Toyama 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Iwaki had 42% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 58%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Iwaki and 1.00 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Kataller Toyama?

Iwaki 3-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 41%, draw 29%, Kataller Toyama 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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