JEF United 0-1 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Jun 2025

JEF United
0-1 HT 0-1
Jubilo Iwata
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

JEF United vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.22/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.14
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses 30.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

JEF United vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
26.08.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-3 JEF United JEF United JAP2
07.05.2023 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
11.09.2021 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
19.06.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
29.11.2020 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 0-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2

JEF United 0-1 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
0-1
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
268 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata squeezed past JEF United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, JEF United had 48% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 52%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for JEF United and 1.67 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Jubilo Iwata?

JEF United 0-1 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JEF United 44%, draw 24%, Jubilo Iwata 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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