Jubilo Iwata 1-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +5%
1.69/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.25
+51% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.0 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
4W-0D-2L
AWAY JEF United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-3 JEF United JEF United JAP2
07.05.2023 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
11.09.2021 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
19.06.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
29.11.2020 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 0-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
16.08.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-0
AWAY JEF United
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
352 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata edged past JEF United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Jubilo Iwata found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 55% of the ball to JEF United's 45%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.17 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs JEF United?

Jubilo Iwata 1-0 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 35%, draw 26%, JEF United 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
30 Mar 2025
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
08:00 Kataller Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
08:00 Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →