Fujieda MYFC 3-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 51%
+16% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +11%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.90
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-1D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
24.02.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.10.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 5-1 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
25.02.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
3-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
212 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 38
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC nicked a narrow win over V-Varen Nagasaki 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 41% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 59%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 1.75 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Fujieda MYFC 3-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 33%, draw 23%, V-Varen Nagasaki 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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