V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 27% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.26
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
436 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.10.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 5-1 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
25.02.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2-0
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki got the better of Fujieda MYFC 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 44% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 56%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.00 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fujieda MYFC?

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 53%, draw 26%, Fujieda MYFC 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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