Imabari 2-2 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.19
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
2-2
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
325 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari and Montedio Yamagata shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Imabari had 52% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 48%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata?

Imabari 2-2 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Imabari 41%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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