Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roasso Kumamoto v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-0
Roasso Kumamoto
JPK
3-2
HT 1-1
Roasso Kumamoto
JPK
1-0
HT 1-0
Roasso Kumamoto
JPK
Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Roasso Kumamoto beat Sagan Tosu 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Roasso Kumamoto found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 45% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 55%, shots finished 16-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 2.00 for Sagan Tosu.
What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 32%, draw 32%, Sagan Tosu 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sagan Tosu), Under 2.5 went the other way.