Mito HollyHock 4-1 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +12%
1.54/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.95
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses 11.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
184 Passes 252
63% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-2 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
24.02.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
09.07.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 4-3 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
26.02.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-2 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
4-1
AWAY Iwaki
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock ran out comfortable winners over Iwaki 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mito HollyHock as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 48% of the ball to Iwaki's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.75 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki?

Mito HollyHock 4-1 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 44%, draw 24%, Iwaki 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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