Omiya Ardija 0-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Jun 2025

Omiya Ardija
0-0 HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.51/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.83
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 17.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.5

Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
397 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.03.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
19.08.2017 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 3-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
04.06.2017 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
25.09.2016 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
21.05.2016 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
23.08.2014 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-3 HT 1-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP

Omiya Ardija 0-0 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
0-0
AWAY Sagan Tosu
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
210 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija and Sagan Tosu fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 39% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 61%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.50 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu?

Omiya Ardija 0-0 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 41%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5
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