Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mekelakeya v Ethiopian Insurance — Team-Based Signals
Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Mekelakeya
ETH
Mekelakeya 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance — Actual Match Statistics
Mekelakeya edged past Ethiopian Insurance 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Mekelakeya had 50% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 50%, shots finished 11-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Mekelakeya and 0.80 for Ethiopian Insurance.
What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance?
Mekelakeya 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 44%, draw 33%, Ethiopian Insurance 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.