Caracas FC 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC CSA
16.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
02.02.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 2-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caracas FC had 40% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 60%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Caracas FC and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Caracas FC 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the VENK on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 36%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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