Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Aug 2026

Newport City
vs
Baglan Dragons
📅21/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Wales - FAW Championship – 2026/2027

Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Newport City v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Season & Recent Form vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored and conceded
  • Attack & Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport City
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
The Meetings
06.03.2026 Newport City Newport City 1-2 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
17.08.2025 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 3-3 HT 2-1 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
20.07.2025 Newport City Newport City 2-0 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALLK
25.03.2025 Newport City Newport City 1-0 HT 0-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
09.11.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-2 HT 1-1 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
PREVIEW Newport City vs Baglan Dragons
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Newport City hold a modest edge on our numbers — a lean, not a lock. The price (1.64, near 61%) says the market is more convinced still.

Newport City's home form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league, and both teams have scored in just 1 of Baglan Dragons's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newport City have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Newport City and 1.40 for Baglan Dragons.

Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Kick-off Time

Newport City play Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/08/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Newport City vs Baglan Dragons is a Newport City win at about 51% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Newport City 51%, draw 25%, Baglan Dragons 24%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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