Charlton Athletic 1-2 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.45
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
16%
5.23
X/2
9%
5.88
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2 EV+ ✓
27%
4.06
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/2 at 4.06 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.26
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.9 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Blackpool
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
07.10.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
27.02.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
20.10.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
16.02.2019 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
08.12.2018 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-2
AWAY Blackpool
2.19 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
282 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool edged past Charlton Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 52% of the ball to Blackpool's 48%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.19 to 1.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Charlton Athletic.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.33 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool?

Charlton Athletic 1-2 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 32%, draw 26%, Blackpool 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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