Stockport County 1-4 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.97
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.94
6+
8%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.35
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.2
X/1
9%
4.05
X/2
8%
9.0
X/X
7%
4.45
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
7.26
2/X
9%
15.05
Value flag · 1/X at 14.2 — our 11% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Stockport County The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient The Market 24%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.91 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.75
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.90
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 65%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.0 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
188 Passes 316
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 4
29 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-3 HT 0-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
19.11.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 1-2 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
17.04.2010 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
19.09.2009 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
14.03.2009 Stockport County Stockport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
13.09.2008 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-3 HT 0-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-4
AWAY Leyton Orient
2.06 xG 1.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
348 Passes 165
74% Pass Accuracy 58%
33 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Stockport County vs Leyton Orient
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leyton Orient cruised past Stockport County 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 42% lean on Stockport County didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.76, about 57% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Stockport County's favour, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.06 to 1.38 — on chances, Stockport County could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Stockport County against 1.00 for Leyton Orient.

Stockport County vs Leyton Orient Result & Final Score

Stockport County 1-4 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stockport County vs Leyton Orient Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 42%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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