Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chesterfield v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chesterfield 1-1 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Chesterfield and Cheltenham Town with a point apiece. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Chesterfield at 63% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Chesterfield had 67% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.83 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chesterfield and 1.00 for Cheltenham Town.
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town Result & Final Score
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Cheltenham Town in the England - League Two on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 63%, draw 21%, Cheltenham Town 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield), Over 2.5 went the other way.