Crewe Alexandra 3-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.33
X/2
12%
7.63
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.97
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.25/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.34
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
358 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 70%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.2 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.49 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 224
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
28.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
18.02.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
06.08.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.36 xG 0.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
241 Passes 201
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra cruised past Harrogate Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Crewe Alexandra found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 53% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 47%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.36 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.50 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town?

Crewe Alexandra 3-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 39%, draw 28%, Harrogate Town 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✗ BTTS Yes
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