Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.17
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
8.11
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
9%
6.07
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · X/2 at 8.11 — our 14% vs market 8.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.07/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.32
+24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 68%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.2 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 233
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
18.02.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
06.08.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.42 xG 0.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
349 Passes 199
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 9
42 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and Harrogate Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Crewe Alexandra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 61% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 39%, shots finished 19-1, expected goals 1.42 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.67 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town?

Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 42%, draw 28%, Harrogate Town 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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