Barrow 2-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
10%
3.63
X/2
6%
14.85
X/X
9%
5.95
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
13%
12.0
2/X
8%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.83/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.59
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 62%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.0 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Newport County
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
243 Passes 225
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
16.09.2023 Newport County Newport County 1-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
11.02.2023 Barrow Barrow 0-1 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
17.09.2022 Newport County Newport County 0-2 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
29.01.2022 Newport County Newport County 2-1 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
24.09.2021 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 0-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
2-0
AWAY Newport County
1.84 xG 0.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 2
321 Passes 173
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
35 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow beat Newport County 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barrow as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barrow had 61% of the ball to Newport County's 39%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barrow and 0.83 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Newport County?

Barrow 2-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Barrow 53%, draw 23%, Newport County 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
21 Sep 2024
14:30 Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale Analysis →
14:30 Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
17:00 Bradford City vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
17:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Salford City vs Walsall Analysis →
17:00 Notts County vs Gillingham Analysis →