Barrow vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barrow v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Barrow vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Barrow
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Barrow
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Barrow
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Newport County
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Newport County
İN2
Barrow 1-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Barrow edged past Newport County 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barrow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Barrow had 49% of the ball to Newport County's 51%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.69 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barrow and 1.00 for Newport County.
What was the final score of Barrow vs Newport County?
Barrow 1-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barrow vs Newport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barrow 46%, draw 26%, Newport County 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.